Performance Exploration of Tree-Based Ensemble Classifiers for Liver Cirrhosis: Integrating Boosting, Bagging, and RUS Techniques

Abstract

Liver cirrhosis, as a significant chronic liver disease, exhibits a rising global prevalence, demanding more effective preventive approaches. In an effort to enhance early detection and patient management, this research proposes the development of a liver cirrhosis risk prediction model using machine learning technology, specifically comparing the performance of three ensemble tree models: Ensemble Boosted Tree, Ensemble Bagged Tree, and Ensemble RUSBoosted Tree. Utilizing clinical and laboratory data from adults with a history or risk of cirrhosis, the study reveals that Ensemble Bagged Tree achieved the highest accuracy at 71%, followed by Ensemble Boosted Tree (67.2%) and Ensemble RUSBoosted Tree (66%). Analysis of clinical and laboratory variables provides further insights into the most significant contributors to risk prediction. The findings lay the groundwork for the advancement of a more sophisticated liver cirrhosis risk prediction tool, supporting a vision of more personalized and effective preventive strategies in liver disease management